Nov 29, 2022

Mawazo Writing Africa

Writing about the main

Kalonzo could change presidential election outcome

As Kenya’s presidential hopefuls race to beat the June 6 deadline for the Election Commission’s approval to run on August 9, former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka continues to draw attention.

Mr. Musyoka’s Wiper Democratic Movement Party submitted his name and signatures to the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), supporting his earlier announcement that he would run for the top seat a second time.

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strong>Two horse races take shape in Kenya as Kalonzo weighs options

His late entry into racing to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta and the break with the Azimio La Umoja One Kenya coalition was a reaction to him being overlooked for the position of vice-candidate by Raila Odinga.

Mr Odinga, who absolutely appealing to voters in the populous Mt. Kenya region and wanting to win the national women’s vote opted for former Justice and Constitutional Affairs Minister Martha Karua as his running mate.

T The results of the latest opinion polls giveMr. Musyoka had a slim chance, with no more than four percent of those polled saying they would vote for him.

But the polls also show a dead heat in the contest between Deputy President William Ruto and Mr. Odinga , leader of the Wiper party, could still have a say in who becomes Kenya’s fifth president.

A candidate must get 50 percent plus one vote to be declared the winner, meaning there is a possibility returns from Mr Musyoka forcing a runoff if he runs.

Also read:Kenya Polls: Raila Odinga, William Ruto pick Mt. Kenya running mates

His It is widely believed that the last ballot, in 2007, divided the opposition vote and tipped the scales in favor of then-President Mwai Kibaki, who defeated Mr Odinga by nearly 200,000 votes in that year’s hotly contested election.

< p> As before 1 5 years ago, Mr. Musyoka would bet on his ethnic voting bloc, Kamba, which is believed to be responsible for t two million of the country’s current total of 23 million registered voters.

Fallout

His exit from the Azimio coalition this month was the second major row with Mr Odinga in the past nine months, following the dissolution of the National Super Alliance (Nasa) – the coalition they built to lead the 2017 election as Presidential candidate and vice presidential candidate to run – in August 2021.

But the man has been widely caricatured in the national media for his famous upset on political issues has continued to send mixed signals and speculation about another possible reunion with the Azimio coalition fueled.

In announcing his presidential candidacy on May 16, Mr Musyoka seemed to suggest that he remained open to negotiations for a D eal, which would make him support another candidate.

He has not made a public statement or decided to campaign since then. Everything indicates that he will return to Azimio. Mr Musyoka’s trip abroad, reportedly to the UK earlier this week, came amid reports of ongoing talks over a pre-election power-sharing deal that would give his party 20 per cent of senior appointments in an Odinga government, in addition to chief ministerial posts formerly attached to the former vice president.

In recent days, Mr. Musyoka has also come under pressure from his political base, with a group of wiper-down contenders and a career election campaign. Lobby of the party publicly urging him to rejoin the Azimio coalition.

Analysts say such a reunion would increase Mr. Odinga’s chances of securing a first-round victory against Mr. Ruto.

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