May 28, 2022

Mawazo Writing Africa

Writing about the main

Has SA entered its fifth wave of Covid-19 infections?

Most provinces may have entered the fifth wave of Covid-19, which appears to have arrived earlier than predicted.

This is according to Health Secretary Joe Phaahla, who alerted the media last week after a surge in daily infections saw a “stronger surge” and very “low uptake” of vaccinations.

Phaahla told the health department as recommended Scientists expect the fifth wave to likely hit the rest of the country in mid-May or early June.

“The question on our minds is whether we’re in the fifth wave occurred, which is much earlier than predicted,” he said.

The minister said the department will monitor daily infections and give a clearer indication in the coming days of whether the country has entered the fifth wave.

“The next seven days until April 6 May 20th will give a clearer picture of where we are going, whether the fifth wave started earlier without a disti not a new variant but powered by subvariants, or it is an early surge caused by the Easter weekend,” he said.

The epidemiologist Prof’s calculations of cases per 100,000 people appear that the country has entered the fifth wave.

“ Prof Abdool Karim, in his weekly analysis published every Tuesday, argues that with a technical definition of 75 cases/100,000 daily population, we have entered the fifth wave in most provinces,” Phaahla said.

“By another definition, if we reach 6,237 cases per day averaging seven days, we are in the fifth wave. Anyhow, we were dealing with 6,372 cases on Wednesday.”

Provinces with the most cases

< p>Phaahla said the steep increase was mainly due to higher infection rates in Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and the Western Cape.

He said the three provinces made up more than 85% off. of new cases.

He said 50% of adults had not received at least one vaccination.

“Which is uncertain is that our scientists are telling us that a new wave will come through a new variant nicknamed Pi, which must be more transmissible and escape immunity.

“At this point it is confirmed that subvariants of Omicron called B.4 and B.5 are dominant, which show changes from the original B.1, but not enough to being new strains of concern,” Phaahla said.

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